Doctor Who has been a feature of the Christmas line-up for the last six years and has always performed well: The Christmas Invasion (2005, 9.84m, 2nd); The Runaway Bride (2006, 9.35m, 5th); Voyage of the Damned (2007, 13.31m, 2nd); The Next Doctor (2008, 13.1m, 2nd); The End of Time (pt 1) (2009, 11.57m, 3rd) [arguably, it actually won the ratings battle with a combined BBC1/BBCHD audience of 12.04m, but this doesn't count for the bookies!]; and A Christmas Carol (2010, 12.11m, 3rd).
But what are the odds for this year ...
The Top Television Show for Christmas DayWith all the recent debate over what constitutes real ratings with current television viewing patterns, the bookies are stating that their payouts are based on the BARB overnight viewing figures and not the consolidated ones that come out in the new year.
As can be seen below, at this stage the top five shows are pretty much the same throughout, with just the likelihood of which will win out of Doctor Who, Eastenders, Downton Abbey, Coronation Street and The Gruffalo's Child.
William Hill Betfair Oddsbet comb 3:00 The Queens Speech 100/1 100/1 ITV1 6:00 Emmerdale 66/1 100/1 BBC1 6:30 The Gruffalo's Child 16/1 12/1 20/1 BBC1 7:00 Doctor Who 11/8 2/1 7/4 ITV1 7:00 All Stars Family Fortunes 80/1 150/1 BBC1 8:00 Strictly Come Dancing 25/1 28/1 ITV1 8:00 Coronation Street 25/1 12/1 20/1 BBC1 9:00 Eastenders evens 11/5 11/10 ITV1 9:00 Downton Abbey 9/2 11/2 11/4 BBC1 10:00 Absolutely Fabulous 25/1 25/1
OLBG have also provided a Top Christmas Day TV page which indicates the best odds given for a particular programme, and also what their tipsters think is most likely.